Fantasy Football Draft Guide: Round-by-Round
Fantasy drafts are hard. There’s a lot to think about each time you’re on the clock:
- Scoring system
- Positional value
- Team needs
- ADP
- Upside
- Injury risk
It’s easy to be overwhelmed and make costly draft mistakes.
And is there anything worse than seeing your top picks falter while your opponents land the late-round league winners?
The solution: A round-by-round draft strategy guide to maximize value with every pick.
The 12-team PPR draft strategy guide below will take you through top targets for every pick of your draft.
We’re using our 3D Values and recent ADP to pinpoint the best picks in each round.
Consider this your game plan heading into your draft.
No fantasy football draft goes exactly as planned, of course. You’ll likely need to adjust your strategy throughout the draft to maximize value.
That’s where the customized, dynamic fantasy football cheat sheet on your Draft War Room comes into play, instantly analyzing 17 value indicators each time you’re on the clock to help you make the best pick.
Combine the Draft War Room with this round-by-round game plan and you’ll be armed with the ultimate fantasy football draft guide.
Note: This strategy guide assumes a 16-round draft and starting lineup of 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, 1 Flex, 1 K and 1 DST. The Draft War Room will help you adjust your strategy if your league settings are different.
Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for Pick 1, 2, or 3
Round 1
Top target: CeeDee Lamb
You might be surprised to see Lamb -- and not Christian McCaffrey -- topping our PPR rankings.
But Lamb is coming off a massive 2023 season, leading all WRs in PPR points. The 25-year-old has grown his target share and yards per route run each season. And he returns to the same offense with the same QB in 2024.
It all makes Lamb arguably the safest pick in fantasy football.
Next best: Christian McCaffrey
McCaffrey’s 24.7 PPR points per game last year beat all other RBs by more than 3.0. He set career highs in numerous categories, including:
- Yards per carry
- Yards after contact per attempt
- Missed tackles forced per attempt
McCaffrey turns just 28 this June and should still have at least one more big fantasy season in him.
The only downside: Our Injury Predictor gives him a 63.6% chance of injury and 3.0 projected games missed this season. McCaffrey is currently sidelined with a calf injury, although he's fully expected to be ready by Week 1.
Other option
- Tyreek Hill
Rounds 2 & 3
Top targets: De'Von Achane & Deebo Samuel
Achane’s 11 games last year included PPR explosions of:
- 51.3 points
- 27.0 points
- 25.3 points
- 23.7 points
- 23.5 points
He averaged an absurd 7.8 yards per carry and took 13 of his 103 attempts (12.6%) for 15+ yards.
The 188-pounder will never be a workhorse. But he doesn’t need to be to deliver bunches of fantasy points thanks to his big-play ability.
Samuel finished 15th among WRs in total Half PPR points last year; 14th in points per game. He remains one of the bigger injury risks in fantasy football – but also a good bet for WR1-level production when he’s on the field.
Next best: Travis Etienne & Jaylen Waddle
Etienne ranked third at his position in PPR points last year, tallying the fourth-most carries and seventh-most targets among RBs.
Tank Bigsby will need to be much better this season to take significant work from Etienne, a 25-year-old former first-round pick.
Waddle missed three games and parts of a couple more last season. And he got unlucky in the TD department, scoring on just four of 72 catches.
Yet he still finished 22nd among WRs in PPR points per game. Waddle set a career high and ranked eighth among 84 qualifying WRs in yards per route run.
This is a young, explosive WR in a strong offense that still boasts WR1 upside.
Other options
- Isiah Pacheco
- Derrick Henry
- Cooper Kupp
Rounds 4 & 5
Top targets: Joe Mixon & Tee Higgins
The Texans traded for Mixon before he could hit the open market -- and then signed him to a three-year, $27 million extension. That all points to Mixon operating as the clear lead back for a Texans offense that could explode in QB C.J. Stroud's second season.
Higgins battled through injuries last year but still flashed week-winning upside with four top-10 finishes among his 12 outings. He ranked top-14 in PPR points per game in both 2021 and 2022 and is just 25.
Joe Mixon and Tee Higgins figure to pop as strong Round 4/5 targets on your Draft War Room.
Next best: Ken Walker & Mark Andrews
There's been a ton of positive buzz on Walker's role under Seattle's new coaching staff. He's been a rankings riser in August and is a solid value here.
Andrews still looks like an elite fantasy TE. HisPPR scoring average in nine healthy games last year would have ranked third at his position.
Andrews' 1.96 yards per route run ranked third among 33 TEs with 40+ targets. He has now ranked top 6 in YPRR at his position in all six of his NFL seasons.
Other options
- Anthony Richardson
- D.K. Metcalf
- DeVonta Smith
- Trey McBride
Rounds 6 & 7
Top targets: Raheem Mostert & Rashee Rice
Mostert is coming off a career-best season, finishing third among RBs in PPR points per game in HC Mike McDaniel’s diabolical scheme.
There are obvious regression and durability concerns heading into 2024 – but those are more than baked into Mostert’s Round 7 price tag.
We're still waiting for news on Rice's potential suspension, which adds obvious risk to his profile. But we're also talking about a guy who'd be going 3-4 rounds earlier if there wasn't that risk. Rice is a particularly nice pick here if you already have three WRs.
Next best: Chris Godwin & Evan Engram
Godwin scored just twice last year but ranked 15th among WRs in catches (83) and 23rd in receiving yards (1,024). Better TD luck will make him a strong value in 2024 fantasy drafts.
Engram's114 catches last year were the second most by a TE in NFL history. He's back in HC Doug Pederson's TE-friendly offense this season and should remain busy after the departure of WR Calvin Ridley.
Other options
- Dak Prescott
- Tony Pollard
- Calvin Ridley
The Draft War Room is the most powerful drafting tool in fantasy football.
Rounds 8 & 9
Top targets: Javonte Williams & Jayden Daniels
This is a nice spot for RB value, with Williams leading the way.
His 2023 inefficiency was no surprise coming off a nasty knee injury. He should be much closer to pre-injury form this season. He averaged 4.4 yards per carry and caught 59 passes across his first 21 NFL games. Vibes on Williams this August have been positive.
Daniels' combination of deep-passing and rushing skills give him immediate top-5 fantasy upside. He's our favorite QB target in fantasy drafts. For more on Daniels, check out our list of 2024 fantasy football breakouts.
Next best: Jonathon Brooks & Diontae Johnson
Brooks is a rookie RB with a limited college resume coming off a torn ACL. That's the bad news.
The good news:
- Brooks was awesome in his 10 games as Texas' feature back last year, averaging 114 rushing yards and 29 receiving yards per game.
- Carolina traded up to make him the first RB off the board in this spring's draft.
- He joins a backfield with weak competition from Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders.
- New Panthers HC Dave Canales just helped Rachaad White to a breakout season.
Brooks might miss the first few games of the season. But he has easy top-20 fantasy upside over the second half of the year, making him an attractive pick this deep into your fantasy draft.
TIP
Prioritizing high-upside players in the later rounds is 1 of 7 key tenets of ourfantasy football draft strategy.
Johnson isn't as exciting as Brooks, but he's a good bet for steady production this year. He's been a strong target earner throughout his career and should continue to gobble up targets in Carolina amid a shaky WR corps.
Other options
- Tyjae Spears
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Christian Watson
- Dallas Goedert
Rounds 10 & 11
Top targets: Chase Brown & Tyler Lockett
Brown has been a big training-camp riser. He's drawn praise from coaches and beat writers while reportedly taking the majority of the first-team reps.
A big-play back on a potential top-5 offense, Brown has exciting fantasy upside.
Lockett is on the downswing of his career, finishing with his fewest PPR points last year since 2017. But he still ranked 34th at his position and is now outside the top 50 WRs in ADP.
Next best: Curtis Samuel & Courtland Sutton
Samuel inked a three-year, $24 million deal in free agency with Buffalo, where he'll reunite with OC Joe Brady. Brady was Panthers OC in 2020 when Samuel turned in a career-best WR23 PPR finish. He's locked in as the starting slot receiver for a high-scoring Bills offense.
Sutton is coming off a WR35 finish and could see a target boost this year with WR Jerry Jeudy off to Cleveland.
Other options
- Trevor Lawrence
- Zach Charbonnet
- Jameson Williams
- Mike Williams
- Pat Freiermuth
Rounds 12 & 13
Top targets: Ty Chandler & Jahan Dotson
The Vikings signed Aaron Jones to be their lead back -- but expect Chandler to remain involved in a committee backfield after a nice finish to 2023. But his real upside is as a handcuff to Jones, who turns 30 in December and has missed multiple games in five of seven NFL seasons.
Dotson is coming off an underwhelming 2023 season but is now super cheap for a 24-year-old, former first-round pick. He's essentially locked into a top-two WR job this year. And Washington upgraded at QB with the selection of Jayden Daniels with the No. 2 pick of this spring's draft.
Next best: Antonio Gibson & Rashid Shaheed
Gibson looks like a handcuff-plus. He should play a passing-down role behind a healthy Rhamondre Stevenson. And if Stevenson misses time, Gibson would likely dominate New England's backfield work.
Shaheed has flashed in limited opportunities through two NFL seasons, averaging a huge 11.1 yards per target. He looks like the Saints' clear No. 2 WR heading into 2024 and should find himself in a more creative offense under new OC Klint Kubiak.
Other options
- MarShawn Lloyd
- Jaleel McLaughlin
- Gabe Davis
- Brandin Cooks
Rounds 14, 15 & 16
Top targets: High-upside bench stash, K & DST
Pinpoint a player with upside in Round 14. Your Draft War Room will flip to Upside Mode in the second half of your draft and highlight players with lofty ceilings.
Use your final two picks on a K and DST. We typically recommend working the waiver wire and playing matchups at both positions throughout the season. Here are a few Ks and DSTs with favorable Week 1 matchups:
Kickers
- Ka'imi Fairbairn (at IND)
- Jason Sanders (vs. JAC)
- Michael Badgley (vs. LAR)
- Tyler Bass (vs. ARI)
DSTs
- NO (vs. CAR)
- CIN (vs. NE)
- CHI (vs. TEN)
- SEA (vs. DEN)
TIP
Check out Best Streaming Defenses now and throughout the season.
Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for Pick 4, 5, or 6
Round 1
Top target: Justin Jefferson
Jefferson vs. Ja'Marr Chase got closer with QB J.J. McCarthy's season-ending injury. But we still slightly prefer Jefferson.
Injuries cost him seven games and parts of two others last year. But his PPR scoring average in the other eight would have led all WRs.
Jefferson also set career highs last year in:
- Target share (30.0% in eight healthy games)
- Yards per route run
- Pro Football Focus receiving grade
And note that he averaged 7.5 catches, 119 yards, and 0.5 TDs across four healthy games without Cousins last year.
Next best: Ja'Marr Chase
With a healthy Joe Burrow over the first nine games of last season, Chase averaged 7.7 catches, 91 yards, and 0.6 TDs per game.
An elite talent in the prime of his career, Chase is a safe pick with the upside to lead all WRs in fantasy points.
Other options
- Breece Hall
- Bijan Robinson
- Amon-Ra St. Brown
Round 2
Top target: Drake London
London disappointed fantasy owners last year but remained strong on a per-target and per-route basis.
Now he's freed from Arthur Smith and in what should be a much pass-heavier offense under new HC Zac Robinson. And he got a big QB upgrade with the arrival of Kirk Cousins.
Next best: De'Vone Achane
Achane’s 11 games last year included PPR explosions of:
- 51.3 points
- 27.0 points
- 25.3 points
- 23.7 points
- 23.5 points
He averaged an absurd 7.8 yards per carry and took 13 of his 103 attempts (12.6%) for 15+ yards.
The 188-pounder will never be a workhorse. But he doesn’t need to be to deliver bunches of fantasy points thanks to his big-play ability.
Other options
- Travis Etienne
- Chris Olave
Round 3
Top target: Deebo Samuel
Samuel finished 15th among WRs in total Half PPR points last year; 14th in points per game.
He remains one of the bigger injury risks in fantasy football – but also a good bet for WR1-level production when he’s on the field.
Next best: Jaylen Waddle
Waddle missed three games and parts of a couple more last season. And he got unlucky in the TD department, scoring on just four of 72 catches.
Yet he still finished 22nd among WRs in PPR points per game. Waddle set a career high and ranked eighth among 84 qualifying WRs in yards per route run.
This is a young, explosive WR in a strong offense that still boasts WR1 upside.
Other options
- Jalen Hurts
- Cooper Kupp
- Nico Collins
Round 4
Top target: Joe Mixon
The Texans traded for Mixon before he could hit the open market -- and then signed him to a three-year, $27 million extension.
That all points to Mixon operating as the clear lead back for a Texans offense that could explode in QB C.J. Stroud's second season.
Next best: Mark Andrews
Andrews still looks like an elite fantasy TE.
His 1.96 yards per route run last year ranked third among 33 TEs with 40+ targets. He has now ranked top 6 in YPRR at his position in all six of his NFL seasons.
And Andrews’ PPR scoring average in nine healthy games last year would have ranked third at his position.
Mark Andrews' ranks among TEs in yards per route:
- 2018 - 4th
- 2019 - 2nd
- 2020 - 4th
- 2021 - 3rd
- 2022 - 3rd
- 2023 - 3rd
Other options
- Malik Nabers
- DeVonta Smith
- D.K. Metcalf
- Trey McBride
Round 5
Top target: Tee Higgins
Higgins battled through injuries last year but still flashed week-winning upside with four top-10 finishes among his 12 outings. He's an easy bounce-back bet this year with better health for both he and QB Joe Burrow.
Don't forget that Higgins ranked top-14 in PPR points per game in both 2021 and 2022. He's still just 25.
Next best: James Conner
Conner remained excellent in his age-28 season last year, setting career highs and ranking top 5 among 49 qualifying RBs in:
- Yards per carry
- Rush yards over expected per attempt
- Yards after contact per attempt
- PFF rushing grade
Conner finished 13th at his position in PPR points per game and should again be Arizona's clear lead back in 2024. He's a strong value here.
Other options
- Anthony Richardson
- Tank Dell
- Keenan Allen
- Amari Cooper
Round 6
Top target: Raheem Mostert
Mostert is coming off a career-best season, finishing third among RBs in PPR points per game in HC Mike McDaniel’s diabolical scheme.
There are obvious regression and durability concerns heading into 2024 – but those are more than baked into Mostert’s Round 7 price tag.
Next best: Evan Engram
Engram's114 catches last year were the second most by a TE in NFL history.
He's back in HC Doug Pederson's TE-friendly offense this season and should remain busy after the departure of WR Calvin Ridley.
Other options
- Joe Burrow
- Rhamondre Stevenson
- D'Andre Swift
- Christian Kirk
- Terry McLaurin
- Rashee Rice
Round 7
Top target: Chris Godwin
Godwin scored just twice last year but ranked 15th among WRs in catches (83) and 23rd in receiving yards (1,024).
Better TD luck will make him a strong value in 2024 fantasy drafts.
3D Values identify exactly what a player is worth in YOUR league.
Next best:Dak Prescott
His future in Dallas beyond 2024 might be uncertain, but Prescott is a strong fantasy value for this year.
He's coming off a QB3 finish and returns his top three targets in WR CeeDee Lamb, TE Jake Ferguson, and WR Brandin Cooks.
Other options
- Tony Pollard
- Calvin Ridley
- Jake Ferguson
Round 8
Top target: Jaylen Warren
Warren is coming off a RB20 finish in PPR points and now gets to play in run-loving OC Arthur Smith's attack.
Next best: Diontae Johnson
QB play is a concern for Johnson after Bryce Young's ugly rookie season. But Young is capable of a year two bounce-back under new HC Dave Canales.
Plus Johnson should dominate targets in Carolina. Canales confirmed in late July that Johnson will be featured in the offense.
Other options
- Jonathon Brooks
- Javonte Williams
- DeAndre Hopkins
- David Njoku
Round 9
Top target: Jayden Daniels
With a lethal combination of deep passing and rushing ability, Daniels boasts immediate top-five fantasy upside.
Washington is a nice landing spot, with a solid group of weapons and an OC in Kliff Kingsbury who has experience with young, mobile QBs. Kingsbury guided Kyler Murray to a QB11 finish in fantasy points per game as a rookie back in 2019.
Next best:Dallas Goedert
Goedert is coming off an underwhelming 2023 season, missing three games and finishing 12th among TE in PPR points per game.
But that followed TE9 and TE5 finishes the previous two years. Goedert should remain a big part of a high-scoring Eagles offense that figures to play faster this season under new OC Kellen Moore.
Other options
- Tyjae Spears
- Brian Robinson
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Christian Watson
Round 10
Top target: Chase Brown
Brown has been a big training-camp riser. He's drawn praise from coaches and beat writers while reportedly taking the majority of the first-team reps.
A big-play back on a potential top-5 offense, Brown has exciting fantasy upside.
Next best: Tyler Lockett
Lockett is on the downswing of his career, finishing with his fewest PPR points last year since 2017. But he still ranked 34th at his position and is now outside the top 50 WRs inADP.
Other options
- Brian Robinson
- Courtland Sutton
- Jameson Williams
- Curtis Samuel
Round 11
Top target: Mike Williams
Williams is coming off a September 2023 ACL. But that's where the bad news ends.
The good news:
- He's turned in three straight top-24 finishes in PPR points per game.
- He has a clear path to the No. 2 WR job for the Jets.
- He sports a career 10% TD rate.
- His QB, Aaron Rodgers, owns a career 6.2% TD rate.
Williams was activated from the PUP list on August 7.
Next best: Pat Freiermuth
Freiermuth disappointed last year, but this offseason has been good to him.
The Steelers upgraded at QB with Russell Wilson and Justin Fields; hired a TE-loving OC in Arthur Smith; and traded away target hog Diontae Johnson.
Other options
- Trevor Lawrence
- Zach Charbonnet
- Jerome Ford
- Jerry Jeudy
- Jakobi Meyers
Round 12
Top target: Ty Chandler
The Vikings signed Aaron Jones to be their lead back -- but expect Chandler to remain involved in a committee backfield after a nice finish to 2023.
But his real upside is as a handcuff to Jones, who turns 30 in December and has missed multiple games in five of seven NFL seasons.
Next best: Rashid Shaheed
Shaheed has flashed in limited opportunities through two NFL seasons, averaging a huge 11.1 yards per target.
He looks like the Saints' clear No. 2 WR heading into 2024 and should find himself in a more creative offense under new OC Klint Kubiak.
For more on Shaheed, check out 2024 WR Sleepers.
Other options
- Chuba Hubbard
- Gabe Davis
- Luke Musgrave
Round 13
Top target: Antonio Gibson
Gibson looks like a handcuff-plus.
He should play a passing-down role behind a healthy Rhamondre Stevenson. And if Stevenson misses time, Gibson would likely dominate New England's backfield work.
Next best: Jahan Dotson
Dotson is coming off an underwhelming 2023 season but is now super cheap for a 24-year-old, former first-round pick.
He's essentially locked into a top-two WR job this year. And Washington upgraded at QB with the selection of Jayden Daniels with the No. 2 pick of this spring's draft.
Other options
- Deshaun Watson
- MarShawn Lloyd
- Brandin Cooks
- Dontayvion Wicks
Rounds 14, 15 & 16
Top targets: High-upside bench stash, K & DST
Pinpoint a player with upside in Round 14. Your Draft War Room will flip to Upside Mode in the second half of your draft and highlight players with lofty ceilings.
Use your final two picks on a K and DST. We typically recommend working the waiver wire and playing matchups at both positions throughout the season. Here are a few Ks and DSTs with favorable Week 1 matchups:
Kickers
- Ka'imi Fairbairn (at IND)
- Jason Sanders (vs. JAC)
- Michael Badgley (vs. LAR)
- Tyler Bass (vs. ARI)
DSTs
- NO (vs. CAR)
- CIN (vs. NE)
- CHI (vs. TEN)
- SEA (vs. DEN)
TIP
Check out Best Streaming Defenses now and throughout the season.
Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for Pick 7, 8, or 9
Round 1
Top target: Amon-Ra St. Brown
St. Brown has boosted his catches, receiving yards, receiving TDs, yards per target, and yards per route in each of his first three NFL seasons.
Last year’s monster 119-1,515-10 line landed him third among WRs in PPR points.
With QB Jared Goff and OC Ben Johnson back for 2024, St. Brown is one of the safest picks in fantasy football.
Next best: Breece Hall
Hall is coming off a PPR RB6 finish ... a year after tearing an ACL ... on an offense that lost QB Aaron Rodgers and finished bottom four in total yards and points.
Rodgers is back for 2024, and the Jets made some significant upgrades on the offensive line this offseason.
Hall has the upside to challenge Christian McCaffrey for the RB scoring lead.
Other options
- Bijan Robinson
- Garrett Wilson
3D projections factor in ceiling and floor to give you a complete look at every player's fantasy value.
Round 2
Top target: Jonathon Taylor
Taylor has been dogged by injuries the past two years, missing 12 total games.
But he's still averaged 90 total yards and 0.6 TDs per game across that span -- after topping 2,100 total yards and leading all RBs in fantasy points in 2021.
Still just 25, Taylor is an easy 2024 bounce-back bet in an ascending Colts offense.
Note: We don't advise opening your PPR draft with two RBs. So if you took Breece Hall or Bijan Robinson in Round 1, go with Drake London here instead of Taylor.
Next best: Drake London
London disappointed fantasy owners last year but remained strong on a per-target and per-route basis.
Now he's freed from Arthur Smith and in what should be a much pass-heavier offense under new HC Zac Robinson. And he got a big QB upgrade with the arrival of Kirk Cousins.
London is primed for a career-best season in 2024.
Other options
- Saquon Barkley
- Kyren Williams
- Chris Olave
Round 3
Top target: Jaylen Waddle
Waddle missed three games and parts of a couple more last season. And he got unlucky in the TD department, scoring on just four of 72 catches.
Yet he still finished 22nd among WRs in PPR points per game. Waddle set a career high and ranked eighth among 84 qualifying WRs in yards per route run.
This is a young, explosive WR in a strong offense that still boasts WR1 upside.
Next best: Isiah Pacheco
Pacheco finished RB14 in PPR points per game last year – and was even better in games without RB Jerick McKinnon, who is still a free agent.
With mega-bust Clyde Edwards-Helaire behind him on the depth chart, Pacheco is in for a heavy workload on a high-scoring Chiefs offense.
Other options
- Jalen Hurts
- Deebo Samuel
Round 4
Top target: Cooper Kupp
Puka Nacua might be the Rams' new No. 1 WR. But the gap between he and Kupp likely isn't as big as current ADP suggests.
In 11 healthy regular-season games together, Nacua out-targeted Kuppjust 95 to 94.
Kupp's 14.6 PPR points per game in those outings ranked 20th among WRs.
Nacua is currently sidelined with a knee injury. He's expected to be ready for Week 1, but his situation certainly doesn't hurt Kupp's 2024 outlook.
KUPP VS. NACUA IN 11 HEALTHY GAMES TOGETHER
Kupp
94 targets
58 catches
726 yards
5 TDs
Nacua
95 targets
57 catches
874 yards
3 TDs
Next best: Mark Andrews
Andrews still looks like an elite fantasy TE. HisPPR scoring average in nine healthy games last year would have ranked third at his position.
Andrews' 1.96 yards per route run ranked third among 33 TEs with 40+ targets. He has now ranked top 6 in YPRR at his position in all six of his NFL seasons.
Other options
- Joe Mixon
- Malik Nabers
- Trey McBride
Round 5
Top target: Tee Higgins
Higgins battled through injuries last year but still flashed week-winning upside with four top-10 finishes among his 12 outings. He's an easy bounce-back bet this year with better health for both he and QB Joe Burrow.
Don't forget that Higgins ranked top-14 in PPR points per game in both 2021 and 2022. He's still just 25.
Next best: James Conner
Conner remained excellent in his age-28 season last year, setting career highs and ranking top 5 among 49 qualifying RBs in:
- Yards per carry
- Rush yards over expected per attempt
- Yards after contact per attempt
- PFF rushing grade
Conner finished 13th at his position in PPR points per game and should again be Arizona's clear lead back in 2024.
Other options
- Anthony Richardson
- Tank Dell
- Keenan Allen
- Amari Cooper
- Christian Kirk
Round 6
Top target: Chris Godwin
Godwin scored just twice last year but ranked 15th among WRs in catches (83) and 23rd in receiving yards (1,024). Better TD luck will make him a strong value in 2024 fantasy drafts.
Next best: Evan Engram
Engram's114 catches last year were the second most by a TE in NFL history.
He's back in HC Doug Pederson's TE-friendly offense this season and should remain busy after the departure of WR Calvin Ridley.
Other options
- Joe Burrow
- D'Andre Swift
- Rashee Rice
- Terry McLaurin
- George Kittle
Round 7
Top target: Raheem Mostert
Mostert is coming off a career-best season, finishing third among RBs in PPR points per game in HC Mike McDaniel’s diabolical scheme.
There are obvious regression and durability concerns heading into 2024 – but those are more than baked into Mostert’s Round 7 price tag.
Next best:Calvin Ridley
Ridley got big free-agent money from Tennessee, where he joins what should be a much pass-happier offense under new HC Brian Callahan.
DeAndre Hopkins' knee injury helps Ridley's chances of at least opening the season as the Titans' No. 1 WR.
Other options
- Kyler Murray
- Jordan Love
- Tony Pollard
- Jake Ferguson
TIP
Looking for more fantasy strategies, rankings, and tools? Check out this Fantasy Football Help guide.
Round 8
Top target: Jaylen Warren
This is a nice range for RB value.
Warren is coming off a RB20 finish in PPR points and now gets to play in run-loving OC Arthur Smith's attack.
Next best: Jonathon Brooks
Brooks is a rookie RB with a limited college resume coming off a torn ACL. That's the bad news.
The good news:
- Brooks was awesome in his 10 games as Texas' feature back last year, averaging 114 rushing yards and 29 receiving yards per game.
- Carolina traded up to make him the first RB off the board in this spring's draft.
- He joins a backfield with weak competition from Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders.
- New Panthers HC Dave Canales just helped Rachaad White to a breakout season.
Brooks might miss the first few games of the season. But he has easy top-20 fantasy upside over the second half of the year, making him an attractive pick this deep into your fantasy draft.
Other options
- Javonte Williams
- Diontae Johnson
- DeAndre Hopkins
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- David Njoku
TIP
Put this draft strategy to the test with the FREE Mock Draft Simulator.
Round 9
Top target: Jayden Daniels
With a lethal combination of deep passing and rushing ability, Daniels boasts immediate top-five fantasy upside.
Washington is a nice landing spot, with a solid group of weapons and an OC in Kliff Kingsbury who has experience with young, mobile QBs. Kingsbury guided Kyler Murray to a QB11 finish in fantasy points per game as a rookie back in 2019.
Next best:Dallas Goedert
Goedert is coming off an underwhelming 2023 season, missing three games and finishing 12th among TE in PPR points per game.
But that followed TE9 and TE5 finishes the previous two years. Goedert should remain a big part of a high-scoring Eagles offense that figures to play faster this season under new OC Kellen Moore.
Other options
- Tyjae Spears
- Christian Watson
- Keon Coleman
Round 10
Top target: Chase Brown
Brown has been a big training-camp riser. He's drawn praise from coaches and beat writers while reportedly taking the majority of the first-team reps.
A big-play back on a potential top-5 offense, Brown has exciting fantasy upside.
Next best: Tyler Lockett
Lockett is on the downswing of his career, finishing with his fewest PPR points last year since 2017. But he still ranked 34th at his position and is now outside the top 50 WRs inADP.
Other options
- Brian Robinson
- Courtland Sutton
- Jameson Williams
- Curtis Samuel
Round 11
Top target: Mike Williams
Williams is coming off a September 2023 ACL. But that's where the bad news ends.
The good news:
- He's turned in three straight top-24 finishes in PPR points per game.
- He has a clear path to the No. 2 WR job for the Jets.
- He sports a career 10% TD rate.
- His QB, Aaron Rodgers, owns a career 6.2% TD rate.
Williams was activated from the PUP list on August 7.
Next best: Pat Freiermuth
Freiermuth disappointed last year, but this offseason has been good to him.
The Steelers upgraded at QB with Russell Wilson and Justin Fields; hired a TE-loving OC in Arthur Smith; and traded away target hog Diontae Johnson.
Other options
- Trevor Lawrence
- Zach Charbonnet
- Jerome Ford
- Jerry Jeudy
- Jakobi Meyers
Round 12
Top target: Ty Chandler
The Vikings signed Aaron Jones to be their lead back -- but expect Chandler to remain involved in a committee backfield after a nice finish to 2023.
But his real upside is as a handcuff to Jones, who turns 30 in December and has missed multiple games in five of seven NFL seasons.
Next best: Rashid Shaheed
Shaheed has flashed in limited opportunities through two NFL seasons, averaging a huge 11.1 yards per target.
He looks like the Saints' clear No. 2 WR heading into 2024 and should find himself in a more creative offense under new OC Klint Kubiak.
For more on Shaheed, check out2024 WR Sleepers.
Other options
- Chuba Hubbard
- Gabe Davis
- Josh Palmer
- Luke Musgrave
Round 13
Top target: Antonio Gibson
Gibson looks like a handcuff-plus.
He should play a passing-down role behind a healthy Rhamondre Stevenson. And if Stevenson misses time, Gibson would likely dominate New England's backfield work.
Next best: Jahan Dotson
Dotson is coming off an underwhelming 2023 season but is now super cheap for a 24-year-old, former first-round pick.
He's essentially locked into a top-two WR job this year. And Washington upgraded at QB with the selection of Jayden Daniels with the No. 2 pick of this spring's draft.
Other options
- Deshaun Watson
- MarShawn Lloyd
- Brandin Cooks
- Dontayvion Wicks
Rounds 14, 15 & 16
Top targets: High-upside bench stash, K & DST
Pinpoint a player with upside in Round 14. Your Draft War Room will flip to Upside Mode in the second half of your draft and highlight players with lofty ceilings.
Use your final two picks on a K and DST. We typically recommend working the waiver wire and playing matchups at both positions throughout the season. Here are a few Ks and DSTs with favorable Week 1 matchups:
Kickers
- Ka'imi Fairbairn (at IND)
- Jason Sanders (vs. JAC)
- Michael Badgley (vs. LAR)
- Tyler Bass (vs. ARI)
DSTs
- NO (vs. CAR)
- CIN (vs. NE)
- CHI (vs. TEN)
- SEA (vs. DEN)
TIP
Check out Best Streaming Defenses now and throughout the season.
Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for Pick 10, 11, or 12
Rounds 1 & 2
Top targets: Jahmyr Gibbs & Garrett Wilson
Gibbs also turned in an awesome rookie campaign, finishing eighth among RBs in PPR points per game.
He did a ton of damage in the passing game, ranking top 10 among RBs in targets (71) and catches (51).
And his share of Detroit's rushing work grew as the season went on.
His August hamstring injury adds some risk to his profile, but Gibbs is expected to be ready for Week 1.
Gibbs' carry share climbed from 29% over the first half of last season to 42% over the second.
131 more things we learned doing 2024 projections.
Wilson has topped 80 catches and 1,000 receiving yards in two straight seasons to open his NFL career, despite crappy QB play.A healthy Aaron Rodgers could mean a breakout into elite fantasy status in 2024.
Next best: Jonathan Taylor & A.J. Brown
Despite ankle and thumb injuries, Taylor finished 11th among RBs in PPR points per game last year. He’s still in his prime at 25 and will remain a huge part of an ascending Colts offense.
Brown has finished fifth among WRs in PPR points in both of his two seasons with the Eagles. This passing game could be even better in 2024 under new OC Kellen Moore.
Other options
- Saquon Barkley
- Puka Nacua
Rounds 3 & 4
Top targets: Isiah Pacheco & Jaylen Waddle
Pacheco finished RB14 in PPR points per game last year – and was even better in games without RB Jerick McKinnon, who is still a free agent.
With mega-bust Clyde Edwards-Helaire behind him on the depth chart, Pacheco is in for a heavy workload on a high-scoring Chiefs offense.
Waddle missed three games and parts of a couple more last season and got unlucky in the TD department, scoring on just four of 72 catches.
Yet he still finished 22nd among WRs in PPR points per game. Waddle set a career high and ranked eighth among 84 qualifying WRs in yards per route run.
This is a young, explosive WR in a strong offense that still boasts WR1 upside.
Next best: Jalen Hurts & Cooper Kupp
Hurts has finished QB3 and QB2 in fantasy points the past two years and will operate in new OC Kellen Moore's fast-paced offense this season. Hurts is an especially attractive pick here if you nabbed WR A.J. Brown with one of your first two selections.
Puka Nacua might be the Rams' new No. 1 WR. But the gap between he and Kupp likely isn't as big as current ADP suggests.
In 11 healthy regular-season games together, Nacua out-targeted Kuppjust 95 to 94. Kupp's 14.6 PPR points per game in those outings ranked 20th among WRs.
Nacua is currently sidelined with a knee injury. He's expected to be ready for Week 1, but his situation certainly doesn't hurt Kupp's 2024 outlook.
Other options
- Deebo Samuel
- Malik Nabers
- Mark Andrews
Rounds 5 & 6
Top targets: James Conner & Tee Higgins
Conner remained excellent in his age-28 season last year, setting career highs and ranking top 5 among 49 qualifying RBs in:
- Yards per carry
- Rush yards over expected per attempt
- Yards after contact per attempt
- PFF rushing grade
Conner finished 13th at his position in PPR points per game and should again be Arizona's clear lead back in 2024. He's a nice value here.
Higgins battled through injuries last year but still flashed week-winning upside with four top-10 finishes among his 12 outings. He ranked top-14 in PPR points per game in both 2021 and 2022 and is just 25.
Next best: Rhamondre Stevenson & Anthony Richardson
After a slow start last year, Stevenson ranked 10th among RBs in PPR points over his final six healthy games. Thefour-year, $36 million extension he signed earlier this offseason is a clear sign that New England's new coaching staff views Stevenson as their lead back, despite the addition of RB Antonio Gibson.
Richardson is an exciting pick. He has a big arm, elite rushing upside, and plays under proven talent maximizer Shane Steichen. Richardson has the upside to push Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen for the QB scoring lead. Just note that we'll find plenty more QB value in the next few rounds.
Other options
- Chris Godwin
- Keenan Allen
- Amari Cooper
- Evan Engram
- George Kittle
- Kyle Pitts
Rounds 7 & 8
Top targets: Raheem Mostert & Diontae Johnson
Mostert is coming off a career-best season, finishing third among RBs in PPR points per game in HC Mike McDaniel’s diabolical scheme.
There are obvious regression and durability concerns heading into 2024 – but those are more than baked into Mostert’s Round 7 price tag.
QB play is a concern for Johnson after Bryce Young's ugly rookie season. But Young is capable of a year two bounce-back under new HC Dave Canales.
Plus Johnson should dominate targets in Carolina. Canales confirmed in late July that Johnson will befeatured in the offense.
Next best: Jaylen Warren & Calvin Ridley
Warren is coming off a RB20 finish in PPR points and now gets to play in run-loving OC Arthur Smith's attack.
Ridley got big free-agent money from Tennessee, where he joins what should be a much pass-happier offense under new HC Brian Callahan.
DeAndre Hopkins' knee injury helps Ridley's chances of at least opening the season as the Titans' No. 1 WR.
Other options
- Kyler Murray
- Jordan Love
- Jonathon Brooks
- Javonte Williams
- DeAndre Hopkins
- Marquise Brown
- David Njoku
- Jake Ferguson
Rounds 9 & 10
Top targets: Jayden Daniels & Tyjae Spears
With a lethal combination of deep passing and rushing ability, Daniels boasts immediate top-five fantasy upside.
Washington is a nice landing spot, with a solid group of weapons and an OC in Kliff Kingsbury who has experience with young, mobile QBs. Kingsbury guided Kyler Murray to a QB11 finish in fantasy points per game as a rookie back in 2019.
Jayden Daniels' 403-point ceiling projection ranks fifth highest among QBs
The Titans coaching staff has made it clear all offseason that they'll deploy a committee backfield with Spears and Tony Pollard. Spears certainly earned a 2024 role with strong rookie season. He racked up 52 catches and averaged a strong 4.5 yards per carry.
Next best: Christian Watson & Dallas Goedert
Watson's hamstrings were a problem again last year, but he remained in a very fantasy-friendly role when healthy. Watson registered a big 15.6-yard average target depth and 15 end-zone targets -- tops among Packers and sixth among all WRs. There's still exciting upside here if Watson can stay on the field.
Goedert is coming off a down 2023 but still finished as a top-12 PPR TE for the fourth straight season. He's a relatively safe bet at this cost and still has the upside to score as a top-six fantasy TE as a big part of a high-scoring Eagles offense.
Other options
- Chase Brown
- Brian Robinson
- Tyler Lockett
- Courtland Sutton
- Jameson Williams
Rounds 11 & 12
Top targets: Jerome Ford & Pat Freiermuth
Ford is a near lock to open the season as Cleveland's lead back and should remain involved even when RB Nick Chubb returns from his multi-ligament knee injury. He's a nice value in Round 11.
Freiermuth disappointed last year, but this offseason has been good to him. The Steelers upgraded at QB with Russell Wilson and Justin Fields; hired a TE-loving OC in Arthur Smith; and traded away target hog Diontae Johnson.
Next best: Jakobi Meyers &Mike Williams
Meyers won't be a league-winner, but he's an awesome value at this price tag. Meyers ranked 28th among WRs in targets and 27th in PPR points last year.
Williams is coming off a September 2023 ACL. But that's where the bad news ends.
The good news:
- He's turned in three straight top-24 finishes in PPR points per game.
- He has a clear path to the No. 2 WR job for the Jets.
- He sports a career 10% TD rate.
- His QB, Aaron Rodgers, owns a career 6.2% TD rate.
Williams was activated from the PUP list on August 7.
Other options
- Trevor Lawrence
- Zach Charbonnet
- Khalil Shakir
- Jerry Jeudy
- Luke Musgrave
Rounds 13 & 14
Top targets: Ty Chandler & Jahan Dotson
The Vikings signed Aaron Jones to be their lead back -- but expect Chandler to remain involved in a committee backfield after a nice finish to 2023. But his real upside is as a handcuff to Jones, who turns 30 in December and has missed multiple games in five of seven NFL seasons.
Dotson is coming off an underwhelming 2023 season but is now super cheap for a 24-year-old, former first-round pick. He's essentially locked into a top-two WR job this year. And Washington upgraded at QB with the selection of Jayden Daniels with the No. 2 pick of this spring's draft.
Next best: Antonio Gibson & Dontayvion Wicks
Gibson is a handcuff-plus. He's the clear No. 2 RB in New England and would see a big workload if Rhamondre Stevenson misses time. But Gibson might also carve out enough work behind a healthy Stevenson to be useable in PPR leagues.
Wicks beat both Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs in targets per route and yards per route as a rookie last year. He has a chance in 2024 to win a top-three WR job on an ascending Packers offense.
TIP
Wicks makes our list of top 2024 fantasy football sleepers.
Other options
- Deshaun Watson
- Jaleel McLaughlin
- MarShawn Lloyd
- Brandin Cooks
- Marvin Mims
- Wan'Dale Robinson
- Darnell Mooney
- Ja'Lynn Polk
- Demarcus Robinson
Rounds 15 & 16
Top targets: K & DST
Use your final two picks on a K and DST. We typically recommend working the waiver wire and playing matchups at both positions throughout the season. Here are a few Ks and DSTs with favorable Week 1 matchups:
Kickers
- Ka'imi Fairbairn (at IND)
- Jason Sanders (vs. JAC)
- Michael Badgley (vs. LAR)
- Tyler Bass (vs. ARI)
DSTs
- NO (vs. CAR)
- CIN (vs. NE)
- CHI (vs. TEN)
- SEA (vs. DEN)
TIP
Check out Best Streaming Defenses now and throughout the season.
The Ultimate Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: A Customized, Dynamic Cheat Sheet
Having round-by-round strategy heading into your draft is important.
But fantasy football drafts are unpredictable. You need to be nimble. You need to adjust on the fly to capture the most value.
You need a customized, dynamic cheat sheet.
The Draft War Room takes our award-winning player projections and applies them to your league’s exact rules to give you a precise set of rankings.
Then it recalibrates throughout your draft based on 17 value indicators to make sure you’re making the absolute best pick each time you’re on the clock.
CREATE YOUR DRAFT WAR ROOM NOW!
Frequently Asked Questions About Draft Strategy
Who is the number one fantasy pick in 2024?
The number one fantasy pick in 2024 will almost certainly be RB Christian McCaffery in most leagues. But some managers might be tempted to pick WR CeeDee Lamb, WR Tyreek Hill, or even RB Breece Hall.
What position should I draft first in PPR league?
The position you should draft first in a PPR league is either a WR or a pass-catching RB like Christian McCaffery or Breece Hall.
What is the best position order to draft in fantasy football?
The best position order to draft in fantasy football has traditionally been first. But some scientific data suggests that a later position like 6 or 7 can actually be optimal.
How many WR and RB should I draft?
How many WRs and RBs you should draft is typically 5, 6 or 7 in traditional formats with a 20-round draft. Of course, that can change depending on your scoring rules and starting lineup requirements.
What round should I draft a QB?
You should generally draft a QB in the middle rounds – unless you’re in a Superflex league. You can always find value in mid-round QBs like Jayden Daniels or Kyler Murray.
When should I draft a kicker or defense in fantasy?
You should commonly draft a kicker or defense in the very late rounds in fantasy. Sometimes it might even be a good idea to pick up kickers and defenses on the waiver wire and stream them.
Jared Smola, Lead Analyst
Jared has been with Draft Sharks since 2007. He’s now Lead Analyst, heading up the preseason and weekly projections that fuel your Draft War Room and My Team tools. He currently ranks 1st among 133 analysts in draft rankings accuracy.